Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-167/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 3.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's totaled overall this season.
The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).
Derrick Jones Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Washington Wizards have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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