Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 13.7 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has spiked this year to 25.6 minutes per game.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
This year, opposing teams have nabbed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

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