Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 10.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.

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