Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 1.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.6 more than he's totaled over the course of the year on the road.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. is expected to see a decline in efficiency across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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