Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's best by this standard in recent days: 78th percentile.
Derrick Jones Jr. figures to see a rise in output for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
When playing away from home, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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