Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 3.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's totaled in all games this season at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Celtics (retaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).

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