Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-137/+104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has put up 1.4 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best by this standard in recent days: 81st percentile.
The 6th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 9thbest in in the league at home with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Away from home, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Mavericks will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

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