Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 1.4 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category in recent days: 82nd percentile.
The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Knicks).
When playing away from home, the Knicks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. should get a boost in performance in all stat categories considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the league as the home team with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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