Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has put up 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's put up in all games this season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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