Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-162/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has put up 1.2 offensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch of games: 77th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 10 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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