Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-167/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.
This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Suns (maintaining possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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