Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has posted an impressive 2.5 defensive rebounds per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.4 defensive rebounds per game last season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while playing at home with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 14.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).

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