Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a terrific 2.6 defensive rebounds per game this season, significantly more than his 1.4 defensive rebounds per game last season.
In contrast to last year's 13.2 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has increased this year to 21.9 minutes per game.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).
Derrick Jones Jr. stands to get a boost in production in all facets of the game considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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