Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied a whopping 2.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.4 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has played a terrific 21.3 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 13.2 minutes per game last year.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have collected 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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