Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has posted a terrific 3.9 rebounds per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.3 rebounds per game last year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a whopping 21.8 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 13.2 minutes per game last year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 17th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

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