Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a whopping 21.6 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 13.2 minutes per game last year.
In contrast to last season's 1.3 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s personal fouls per game have tailed off this season to 0.7.
The 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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