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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
  • The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
  • Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, their opposition has collected 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).
  • Derrick Jones Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has posted 1.5 defensive boards per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 19th percentile -- near the bottom of the league by this standard.
  • Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 24th percentile for playing time, logging just 13.9 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season.
  • The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Raptors).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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