Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season, opposing teams have captured 9.0 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has compiled 1.4 defensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 17th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 24th percentile for playing time, putting up a lowly 13.3 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season.
The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production for all stats.

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