Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2026

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Mar 21, 2026

Updated Mar 22, 2026 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The LA Clippers rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 threes per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The LA Clippers will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games as the away team.
The Clippers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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