Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2026

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 11, 2026

Updated Mar 12, 2026 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to 3-point shots, the Clippers's stellar 36.9% rate of sunk threes at home ranks 7th-most in the NBA this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more possessions for the LA Clippers.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 8.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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