Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2026

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 1, 2026

Updated Mar 2, 2026 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has posted 14.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's posted over the course of the season.
With respect to shooting, the Clippers's fantastic 48.6% field goal percentage playing at home measures as the 4th-strongest in the league this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the LA Clippers.
The matchup against New Orleans may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are on the road (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting SFs have tallied the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).
The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA while at home this year.
The LA Clippers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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