Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Nov 14, 2025

Updated Nov 15, 2025 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Clippers will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
The matchup against Dallas may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are at home (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 0.8 3-pointers per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Clippers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Clippers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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