Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers · Oct 28, 2025

Updated Oct 29, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of 3-pointers, the Clippers's excellent 37.7% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA when playing on the road since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 8thworst in in the league with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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