Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Apr 29, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 51.9% of his shots from the field without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The LA Clippers check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The LA Clippers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The LA Clippers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production across the board.

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