Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Apr 19, 2025

Updated Apr 19, 2025 7:04 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. registers in the 85th percentile for scoring performance while playing on the road with a phenomenal 52.9% rate this year.
As it relates to three-point shots, the LA Clippers's excellent 41.4% rate of made threes settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which should boost plays for the LA Clippers.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted and missed 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's missed from downtown in all games this season.
The Clippers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in production across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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