Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 8, 2025

Updated Apr 9, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. rates in the 85th percentile for field goal proficiency when playing at home with a very good 54.9% rate this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 47.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 10.7% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing at home.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The Clippers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Over the last 24 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Spurs is a challenging one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8).
The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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