Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs LA Clippers · Mar 30, 2025

Updated Mar 31, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 60.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
The Clippers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The Clippers will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).
Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
The matchup against Cleveland may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Cavaliers have the home court advantage (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%).
The 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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