Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 16, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 61.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season while playing at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 51.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
The LA Clippers check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 55.8% on shots from the field (highest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, designating this as a positive matchup.
Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The LA Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The Clippers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Hornets are away from home (3rd-least in the NBA).

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