Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 60.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.5% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 49.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 13.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The LA Clippers rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the slowest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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