Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 10, 2025 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-101/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 60.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 6.2% more than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. has made 42.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while at home.
When it comes to three-pointers, the Clippers's outstanding 43.1% rate of converted threes playing at home measures as the 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to boost player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
The Kings have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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