Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs New York Knicks · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. rates in the 84th percentile for shooting prowess with a stellar 52.8% rate this year.
The Clippers check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. is expected to get a boost in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Clippers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Clippers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).
The LA Clippers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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