Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Chicago Bulls vs LA Clippers · Feb 26, 2025

Updated Feb 27, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. registers in the 81st percentile for field goal performance away from his home court with a remarkable 51.7% rate this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to increase plays for the Clippers.
In terms of drawing fouls, the LA Clippers's exceptional 24.7 foul shot attempts per game while playing on the road places 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Bulls may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.9 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 11.5 field goal attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, making this a hard matchup.
The 5th-most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
The Clippers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. has failed to make 0.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 0.4 more than he's missed over the course of the year.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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