Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 52.3% of his shots from the field without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Clippers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 9th-best in in the NBA as the road team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.8 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The LA Clippers rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 2.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pacers, branding this as a hard matchup.
The 5th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
Derrick Jones Jr. has failed to convert 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's missed overall this season.

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