Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 6, 2025

Updated Feb 7, 2025 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 6.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 53.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 20.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season on his home court.
Derrick Jones Jr. has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The Clippers will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 10th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
The Clippers have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.5).
The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.

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