Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs LA Clippers · Jan 31, 2025

Updated Jan 31, 2025 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 5.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made over the course of the season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 50.1% of his treys over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
With respect to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's outstanding 37.6% rate of successful threes away from their home court ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a favorable one for field goals; when the Charlotte Hornets are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most baskets per game in the league this year (8.7).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Clippers will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets).
The Clippers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hornets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.