Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 12:15 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 59.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 50.2% of his treys over the last 5 games, 11.8% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this season.
The LA Clippers have been the 10th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should increase possessions for the Clippers.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a hard one; when the Spurs are at home, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).
The LA Clippers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The LA Clippers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting PFs vs. Harrison Barnes has been very low this year (2.6 free throw attempts per game: 21st percentile).

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