Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 59.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.4% more than he's converted overall this season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 1.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
As a team, the Clippers have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line recently: 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home with 23.7 free throws per game.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a hard one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.1%).
The LA Clippers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the LA Clippers.
The Clippers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).