Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 62.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing at home.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's fantastic 39.9% rate of drained threes when playing at home settles in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.
Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% more than he's put through the net overall this year while on his home court.
Derrick Jones Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Clippers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The LA Clippers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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