Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 52.2% of his field goals while on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. registers in the 82nd percentile for three-point effectiveness with a very good 39.3% rate this year.
The Clippers are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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