Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 29.9% mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s three-point efficiency has risen this season to 40.3%.
In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's superb 39.3% rate of drained threes as the home team ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one; when the Hawks are the visiting squad, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (21.1).
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise possessions for the LA Clippers.
Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season on his home court.

Favors Under

The Clippers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league as the home team this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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