Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Dec 31, 2024

Updated Jan 1, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 42.1% of his treys this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
The 9th-fastest pace away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Clippers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's converted overall this season.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Clippers's feeble 109.6 points per game comes in as the 9th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against San Antonio is a difficult one; when the Spurs have the home court advantage, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).
The matchup against Jeremy Sochan is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; when squaring off against opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.2 free throws per game (7th percentile).
Derrick Jones Jr. is expected to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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