Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 31, 2024 12:49 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 62.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
The Clippers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
The 9th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.
The Clippers will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. figures to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this matchup.

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