Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 58.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.0% more than he's made in all games this year.
The Clippers rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Clippers.
Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.6 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.
The LA Clippers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production for all stats.

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