Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 58.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.9% more than he's converted in all games this season.
The LA Clippers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise opportunities for the Clippers.
Derrick Jones Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.3% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Favors Under

The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the foul line.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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