Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-194/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -194.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the LA Clippers.
The Clippers rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.3% higher than he's converted overall this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.
Derrick Jones Jr. should see a spike in output in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Clippers have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a challenging one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have put up the lowest three percentage in the league this year (21.7%).
The 7th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.

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