Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are away from home (6th-most in the NBA).
Derrick Jones Jr. will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the LA Clippers's subpar 110.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-fewest in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have notched 14.5 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive output.
The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Clippers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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