Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 2:15 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 11 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to more possessions for the LA Clippers.
The Clippers have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this season at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. stands to see a spike in efficiency across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the LA Clippers's poor 109.1 points per game while playing at home rates 6th-lowest in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 29.6% on 3-pointers (4th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, resulting in a tough matchup.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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