Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-121/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 60.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
The Clippers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

The Clippers rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 14.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive output.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the LA Clippers.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Timberwolves are on their home court (9th-least in the NBA).
Derrick Jones Jr. will likely experience a decrease in production across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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