Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Washington Wizards vs LA Clippers · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 58.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% more than he's converted overall this season.
With respect to treys, the Clippers's remarkable 38.4% rate of made threes ranks 8th-highest in the league over the last 15 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 14.6 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, making this a positive matchup.
The Clippers will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).
Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 95.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

The Clippers have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 9th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Clippers.
Derrick Jones Jr. should see a decline in output in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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