Derrick Jones Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

Boston Celtics vs LA Clippers · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 10:39 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 96th percentile for three-point effectiveness with an excellent 49.6% rate this year.
The LA Clippers check in as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 93.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made overall this season.
The matchup against Boston is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.9 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are playing at home (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Clippers's feeble 109.5 points per game measures as the 7th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league in their home city this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Clippers.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production for all stats.

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